The life of a minor minor prophet, not the rock


Friday, April 25, 2003

"The next 10 years will find us moving decidedly from an era of personal productivity to one of joint productivity and social software." - Ray Ozzie
10:25:48 AM    

GBay?

10:05:40 AM    

I wish I was at ETCON

Reading all the buzz about ETCON I feel terribly trapped out here on the east coast.

Kottke.org: Looking ahead to what's on tap for today at Etech, there's Alan Kay -- inventor of the Smalltalk programming language -- talking about why the computer revolution hasn't happened yet, Macromedia's Kevin Lynch on personal interfaces, the all-powerful Clay Shirky (all hail Clay, for he is our God!) talks about the group getting in its own way in social software, Coates on UpMyStreet, Gillmor on Journalism 3.0, warblogging, Meg on weblogs and a little RSS controversy, Kapor on Chandler, Data Mining Social Cyberspaces, Mr. Stewart Butterfield on how games and social software are the same ass thing (well, maybe not exactly), nanotech, and social software in school reform. Whew!

Not to mention the BOFs: user experience and etech, a LazyWeb free-for-all, and web geoblogging. If your brain is not full by the end of the day, you're not trying hard enough.

Please keep those blog reports coming and links to transcripts or video would be great too.


9:40:29 AM    

Ebay on Broadband, Web Services, and Network Effects

Jeremy Allaire's has a report from the Building Infrastructure for Broadband, Panel.

Jeff Huber, VP of Tech for eBay

eBay generates $681 per second.  How does ebay compare to other commerce players?  They're now 31st largest commerce provider, bigger than GAP, ToysRUs, and others.

Where do they focus?  Front end (e.g. new and scarce products), end of life, and used/vintage products.  Asser that this is nearly a $2 trillion market opportunity.  Continue to see strong growth in most categories, but big in cars, home and garden, clothing and accessories.  Operate 27 sites globally.  Strong international growth.

Read the full report


9:23:43 AM    

Corante Group Weblog on Social Software
Joi Ito'sCorante

A new group weblog authored by Elizabeth Lane Lawley, Ross Mayfield, Sébastien Paquet, Jessica Hammer and Clay Shirky to focus on social software.

I know Dave's not a big fan, but I think these fokes have some very interesting ideas, (independent of what they call them).  I particularly like this graphic describing the underlying laws governing group dynamics at different scales.

 

Network Layer Unit Size Distribution of Links Social Capital Weblog Mode 
Political Network 1000s Power Law/Scale-free Sarnoff's Law (N) Publishing
Social Network 150 Random/Bell Curve Metcalfe's Law (N2) Communication
Creative Network 12 Even/Flat Reed's Law (2n) Collaboration

Some of these dieas are discussed in the books the Tipping Point and Linked: The New Science of Networks.


9:09:24 AM    


© Copyright 2004 Micah Alpern.

 

 


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